{ "meta": { "generated_at": "2026-11-01T12:56:57+0100", "election_date": "2026-11-29", "polls": { "source": "wikipedia", "source_url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_Spanish_general_election", "downloaded_live": true, "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T12:56:57+0100", "estimate": "trend", "window_days": 92, "n_polls": 43, "n_pollsters": 20, "first_fieldwork_end": "2026-08-04", "last_fieldwork_end": "2026-10-28" }, "settings": { "simulations": 1000, "national_error_points_at_30pct": 2, "provincial_deviation_pct": 12, "seed": 2026, "interval": "90%: 5th to 95th percentile of simulated seats", "threshold_pct": 3, "total_seats": 350, "majority": 176 }, "fields": { "level": "\"national\" or \"province\"", "cpro": "INE province code (two digits); empty for national rows", "province": "province name as in the Ministry of the Interior files", "ccaa": "autonomous community", "district_seats": "seats at stake (350 for national rows)", "party_code": "model code of the party (SUMAR is Frente Amplio, COMPROMIS is Compromís-Front Valencià)", "party_name": "party name; in the Canary Islands SUMAR is Unidad del Pueblo Canario", "vote_pct": "projected share of the valid vote (blank votes included), central projection", "vote_pct_2023": "share of the valid vote in July 2023 (for the joint lists, that of the Sumar list)", "votes_2023": "votes in July 2023", "seats": "seats in the central projection (the run without noise)", "seats_2023": "seats in July 2023", "seats_lo90": "5th percentile of simulated seats", "seats_hi90": "95th percentile of simulated seats", "seats_mean": "mean of simulated seats", "p_seat": "share of simulations in which the party wins at least one seat", "p_at_least": "JSON only: share of simulations with at least 1, 2, 3, ... seats in the province" } }, "parties": [ { "code": "PP", "name_en": "PP", "name_ca": "PP", "name_es": "PP", "colour": "#1D84CE", "poll_estimate_pct": 30.096 }, { "code": "PSOE", "name_en": "PSOE", "name_ca": "PSOE", "name_es": "PSOE", "colour": "#E30613", "poll_estimate_pct": 27.699 }, { "code": "VOX", "name_en": "Vox", "name_ca": "Vox", "name_es": "Vox", "colour": "#63BE21", "poll_estimate_pct": 19.197 }, { "code": "ERC", "name_en": "ERC", "name_ca": "ERC", "name_es": "ERC", "colour": "#FFB232", "poll_estimate_pct": 2.395 }, { "code": "SUMAR", "name_en": "Frente Amplio", "name_ca": "Front Ampli", "name_es": "Frente Amplio", "colour": "#E51C55", "poll_estimate_pct": 6.704 }, { "code": "BILDU", "name_en": "EH Bildu", "name_ca": "EH Bildu", "name_es": "EH Bildu", "colour": "#A3BE0A", "poll_estimate_pct": 1.377 }, { "code": "JUNTS", "name_en": "Junts", "name_ca": "Junts", "name_es": "Junts", "colour": "#00C3B2", "poll_estimate_pct": 1.541 }, { "code": "COMPROMIS", "name_en": "Compromís-Front Valencià", "name_ca": "Compromís-Front Valencià", "name_es": "Compromís-Front Valencià", "colour": "#E2620E", "poll_estimate_pct": null }, { "code": "PNV", "name_en": "EAJ-PNV", "name_ca": "EAJ-PNV", "name_es": "EAJ-PNV", "colour": "#2F7D46", "poll_estimate_pct": 0.887 }, { "code": "AA", "name_en": "Adelante And.", "name_ca": "Adelante And.", "name_es": "Adelante And.", "colour": "#0E6E63", "poll_estimate_pct": 1.18 }, { "code": "BNG", "name_en": "BNG", "name_ca": "BNG", "name_es": "BNG", "colour": "#76B3DD", "poll_estimate_pct": 0.912 }, { "code": "PODEMOS", "name_en": "Podemos", "name_ca": "Podemos", "name_es": "Podemos", "colour": "#6B2E68", "poll_estimate_pct": 2.481 }, { "code": "CC", "name_en": "CC", "name_ca": "CC", "name_es": "CC", "colour": "#E8C400", "poll_estimate_pct": 0.362 }, { "code": "SALF", "name_en": "SALF", "name_ca": "SALF", "name_es": "SALF", "colour": "#8A6A3B", "poll_estimate_pct": 1.681 }, { "code": "NC-bc", "name_en": "Nueva Canarias", "name_ca": "Nueva Canarias", "name_es": "Nueva Canarias", "colour": "#595959", "poll_estimate_pct": null }, { "code": "U.P.L.", "name_en": "UPL", "name_ca": "UPL", "name_es": "UPL", "colour": "#6A6A6A", "poll_estimate_pct": null }, { "code": "EXISTE", "name_en": "Teruel Existe", "name_ca": "Teruel Existe", "name_es": "Teruel Existe", "colour": "#787878", "poll_estimate_pct": null }, { "code": "SY", "name_en": "Soria ¡Ya!", "name_ca": "Soria ¡Ya!", "name_es": "Soria ¡Ya!", "colour": "#848484", "poll_estimate_pct": null }, { "code": "XAV", "name_en": "Por Ávila", "name_ca": "Por Ávila", "name_es": "Por Ávila", "colour": "#8F8F8F", "poll_estimate_pct": null }, { "code": "CpM", "name_en": "Coalición por Melilla", "name_ca": "Coalición por Melilla", "name_es": "Coalición por Melilla", "colour": "#999999", "poll_estimate_pct": null }, { "code": "UPN", "name_en": "UPN", "name_ca": "UPN", "name_es": "UPN", "colour": "#0B3C7C", "poll_estimate_pct": 0.169 } ], "national": [ { "party_code": "PP", "party_name": "PP", "vote_pct": 30.265, "vote_pct_2023": 33.056, "votes_2023": 8160837, "seats": 123, "seats_2023": 137, "seats_lo90": 110, "seats_hi90": 138, "seats_mean": 124.43, "p_seat": 1 }, { "party_code": "PSOE", "party_name": 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"party_code": "U.P.L.", "party_name": "UPL", "vote_pct": 0.094, "vote_pct_2023": 0.094, "votes_2023": 23201, "seats": 0, "seats_2023": 0, "seats_lo90": 0, "seats_hi90": 0, "seats_mean": 0.02, "p_seat": 0.022 }, { "party_code": "EXISTE", "party_name": "Teruel Existe", "vote_pct": 0.083, "vote_pct_2023": 0.083, "votes_2023": 20440, "seats": 0, "seats_2023": 0, "seats_lo90": 0, "seats_hi90": 1, "seats_mean": 0.2, "p_seat": 0.203 }, { "party_code": "SY", "party_name": "Soria ¡Ya!", "vote_pct": 0.039, "vote_pct_2023": 0.039, "votes_2023": 9697, "seats": 0, "seats_2023": 0, "seats_lo90": 0, "seats_hi90": 1, "seats_mean": 0.24, "p_seat": 0.237 }, { "party_code": "XAV", "party_name": "Por Ávila", "vote_pct": 0.03, "vote_pct_2023": 0.03, "votes_2023": 7362, "seats": 0, "seats_2023": 0, "seats_lo90": 0, "seats_hi90": 0, "seats_mean": 0, "p_seat": 0.002 }, { "party_code": "CpM", "party_name": "Coalición por Melilla", "vote_pct": 0.005, "vote_pct_2023": 0.005, "votes_2023": 1298, "seats": 0, 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